There is a planted story in the press this week that Trump cut off Netanyahu due to his intransigence on normalization with Saudi Arabia and his attempts to force Trump's hand on Iran.
I doubt that Trump will abandon Israel completely but there is clearly something to this story, as evidenced by recent developments like the firing of Mike Waltz and truce with the Houthis.
Trump has also restarted negotiations with Iran scheduled for this Sunday and has proposed a deal with Saudi Arabia that will allow them to develop a civilian nuclear program without normalizing relations with Israel.
With Trump praising Erdogan, negotiating with Iran, and a potentially significant deal with Saudi Arabia, it seems that Israel is becoming diplomatically isolated.
I doubt that Trump will abandon Israel completely but there is clearly something to this story, as evidenced by recent developments like the firing of Mike Waltz and truce with the Houthis.
Trump has also restarted negotiations with Iran scheduled for this Sunday and has proposed a deal with Saudi Arabia that will allow them to develop a civilian nuclear program without normalizing relations with Israel.
With Trump praising Erdogan, negotiating with Iran, and a potentially significant deal with Saudi Arabia, it seems that Israel is becoming diplomatically isolated.
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If you see me out in Quahog, say hi 👋
But if you meet me at the Clam I’m a talkative guy😃
But if you meet me at the Clam I’m a talkative guy
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The Trump administration has now broken with Israel on three key issues: the announcement of negotiations with Iran, truce with the Houthis, and decoupling a Saudi nuclear agreement from normalization with Israel.
Trump defied Israel's pressure to strike Iran, and demoted Mike Waltz, Netanyahu's key man inside the administration.
This week a planted story emerged following a meeting between Trump officials and a key Netanyahu advisor, and today it was announced that Hegseth's visit to Israel has been cancelled.
Trump is rumored to be frustrated with Israel's attempts to influence his Middle East policy and Netanyahu dragging his feet on a Gaza ceasefire agreement, which would be the key to Iran, the Houthis, and Saudi normalization.
The question is: does this represent a true tactical decoupling from Israel on the Middle East crisis, or is this all a negotiating power move to force Israel and Iran to deescalate?
I am open to the possibility that this represents the former, but I still believe it is more likely that this is the latter. An Iranian nuclear deal, even an interim agreement, remains elusive.
And if you think all of this is so significant, remember how Trump humiliated Zelensky and was seemingly prepared to abandon Ukraine, only to quietly sign the minerals deal just weeks later.
In short— nothing has fundamentally changed the impasse between the US and Iran, and this could certainly, perhaps almost likely, be a grand gesture aimed at earning good will with Iran and shocking Israel into compliance.
Trump defied Israel's pressure to strike Iran, and demoted Mike Waltz, Netanyahu's key man inside the administration.
This week a planted story emerged following a meeting between Trump officials and a key Netanyahu advisor, and today it was announced that Hegseth's visit to Israel has been cancelled.
Trump is rumored to be frustrated with Israel's attempts to influence his Middle East policy and Netanyahu dragging his feet on a Gaza ceasefire agreement, which would be the key to Iran, the Houthis, and Saudi normalization.
The question is: does this represent a true tactical decoupling from Israel on the Middle East crisis, or is this all a negotiating power move to force Israel and Iran to deescalate?
I am open to the possibility that this represents the former, but I still believe it is more likely that this is the latter. An Iranian nuclear deal, even an interim agreement, remains elusive.
And if you think all of this is so significant, remember how Trump humiliated Zelensky and was seemingly prepared to abandon Ukraine, only to quietly sign the minerals deal just weeks later.
In short— nothing has fundamentally changed the impasse between the US and Iran, and this could certainly, perhaps almost likely, be a grand gesture aimed at earning good will with Iran and shocking Israel into compliance.
The truce with the Houthis is a massive breakthrough because this was the on-ramp for US escalation against Iran. This takes pressure OFF of the US to attack Iran.
If Trump drops Israel from the Saudi nuclear deal, this puts pressure ON Israel to stop the war in Gaza.
If Saudi Arabia has a nuclear program, this is a potential "check" that makes it easier for the US to accept an Iranian civilian nuclear program which takes pressure OFF of the US to attack Iran.
This is a very complex deal, you can see what Trump is trying to achieve. It's very ambitious. I'm skeptical that he can pull it off, potentially too fragile especially with Israeli deception and interference.
If Trump drops Israel from the Saudi nuclear deal, this puts pressure ON Israel to stop the war in Gaza.
If Saudi Arabia has a nuclear program, this is a potential "check" that makes it easier for the US to accept an Iranian civilian nuclear program which takes pressure OFF of the US to attack Iran.
This is a very complex deal, you can see what Trump is trying to achieve. It's very ambitious. I'm skeptical that he can pull it off, potentially too fragile especially with Israeli deception and interference.
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator – MES
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 U.S. Special Envoy, Steve Witkoff, on the Iranian nuclear program:
– No uranium enrichment program in Iran can ever continue again.
– Iran's three enrichment facilities in Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan must be fully dismantled.
– Iran can no longer possess enrichment centrifuges.
– Iran's current stockpile of uranium must be sent away to a distant location.
NOTE: Witkoff states that if the above criteria are not met, there will be NO nuclear deal. Iran has stated multiple times that the above requirements are totally unacceptable.
@Middle_East_Spectator
– No uranium enrichment program in Iran can ever continue again.
– Iran's three enrichment facilities in Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan must be fully dismantled.
– Iran can no longer possess enrichment centrifuges.
– Iran's current stockpile of uranium must be sent away to a distant location.
NOTE: Witkoff states that if the above criteria are not met, there will be NO nuclear deal. Iran has stated multiple times that the above requirements are totally unacceptable.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Not doing a show tonight because I lost my voice.
I’ll be back Monday
I’ll be back Monday
So Trump’s big announcement was about… prescription drug prices? W bait
Doing a show tonight going over the Trump/Netanyahu split and all other developments in the Middle East
America First is LIVE! Tonight we are discussing the Trump-Netanyahu split and the ongoing crisis in the Middle East
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator – MES (½)
— ❗️🇮🇱/🇵🇸 NEW: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says, 'There will be no scenario in which we stop the war,' adding that even if Hamas releases additional Israeli prisoners, IDF operations in Gaza will continue.
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator – MES (½)
— 🇺🇸/🇸🇦/🇮🇱 President Donald Trump: 'It’s my fervent hope, wish and even my dream that Saudi Arabia will soon be joining the Abraham Accords, but they'll do it in their own time.'
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from wendelegram
thats when i gave my custom hat, gave my custom hat, gave my custom hat, i gave my custom hat, i gave my custom hat
Finally watching Trump's speech in Riyadh. It's hard for me to believe that anybody, even his most hardcore supporters, still find any of this passable. It's grating and practically unwatchable.
Totally monotonous, repetitive, meandering. And feels like such a stupid exercise when he reads one of these lines about the "neocons" that his speechwriter writes for him so that his surrogates can pretend like that is some kind of rhetorical breakthrough on Twitter.
Totally monotonous, repetitive, meandering. And feels like such a stupid exercise when he reads one of these lines about the "neocons" that his speechwriter writes for him so that his surrogates can pretend like that is some kind of rhetorical breakthrough on Twitter.